Event-driven trading. Based on the news. Ben Warwick

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Many believe that the Forex trading game. This is partly true, but unlike the game of Forex trading is a real opportunity to earn a living. Investments in the currency market do not require deep mathematical knowledge, but in Analytics trader should understand. One of the most important abilities - the ability to interpret the news.

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Our dealing center has over activities in the international currency market and gives the possibility to earn on sale of currency for both experienced and novice traders (Forex traders). Forecasts of leading analysts of the market, and, including trading robots and signals enable traders in their work.

Although many traders rely either on a technique, or on the baselines in the development of their strategies, trader Ben Warwick (Ben Warwick) focuses on market reaction to the news. Warwick has developed his own method of trading, which he calls "event-driven trading.

Warwick was first introduced to financial markets during his studies at the University of North Carolina, where he received his M. B. A. In the process of his studies, he learned about the research "suddenly declared yield" (earnings surprise studies) on the stock market, held in the 70-ies. The essence of these studies was that when, according to Warwick, "published by the indices of stock returns were much more anticipated, the trend for stocks continued for 60 days". He says: "Until now, some Fund managers are trading depending on suddenly declared yield. I decided to take this idea and see whether it is possible to apply the same to the futures markets." For the past six years, Warwick has perfected his method of "event trading" and even published a book under this title.

Although it looks like discretionary trading, Warwick has developed his method of the whole system: "I try as much as possible to systematize and to eliminate emotions." Event-driven trading, according to him, "nonlinear, it is not tracking the trend. It only records the speed with which the market reacts to information. I see how the market responds to news. An example of event trading can be the publication of monthly data on number of employed population and their impact on the bond market. "If the market will rally after the statistics, and by the end of the day the market closes in the upper 20% of this range, I will consider this as a buy signal," says Warwick. At the same time, the important role played by settlement price: "Enter the market immediately after the publication of the figures – a game of 50 on 50". For example, "you can get a bearish reaction to the statistics which, in your opinion, can be bullish and still get a sell signal. I pay attention to how the market reacts to such information." "Bullish" in its report on employment, which throws the price within a single day, after which there is a calculation in the bottom 20 % of range, Warwick regards as a sell signal.

If you speak about the time limits, the Warwick is not engaged in intraday trading. The average transaction of Warwick last from one to five days.

through research, Warwick has identified the most efficient and powerful types of messages for specific markets used in event trading. On the current "late" stage of the recovery of the economy, Warwick points to the data on orders for durable goods and employment report as the two most effective factor for event trading in the bond market. Warwick, however, is inclined to the agricultural complex: grain markets and livestock. "I had a few cases of major success for agricultural products," he says. Based on its knowledge of livestock markets and their response to monthly report on livestock population, Warwick says: "If the market cattle there is a strong trend upwards, and if published a bearish report on livestock population, it is much better to buy in compensation the fall. In order to turn the bullish trend in the opposite direction, it takes three, four or five such reports. The cattle market takes time to perceive the information.

Answering the question of what is necessary for the success of a futures trader, Warwick said, "you Should do homework, should keep statistics and be sure that the identified market failure".

"in order to make money consistently, you must be ahead, and find a way to determine market inefficiency, where you can make a profit, are the major factors," he said in conclusion.

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