Analysis of volume of the market

7. Forex technical analysis

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Basic rules:

Х reduction in the volume - reduction of interest to the dynamics of the exchange rate, or a change in trend or a temporary stabilization of prices
Х Increase of volume - increase of interest to the dynamics of, or strengthening of existing dynamics, or the emergence of new trends in prices
Х Sometimes gradual reduction of volumes is accompanied by a sharp change in the price
Х Peaks volumes signal of a possible trend reversal

the Analysis of indicators in use metrics volume

the Indicator equilibrium income (the On Balance Volume (OBV)
the total value of the daily volume is assigned a positive sign if the close is above the previous one, and negative if it is below the previous one. Continuous combined ratio is changed by adding or subtracting the daily amount depending on the direction of closing prices.
In interpreting the indicator, it is important that the direction of the curve, not the specific indicators.
If the curve volume ceases to move in the same direction as the price discrepancy occurs indicating a possible reversal.
For the analysis of the curve OBV apply as trend and oscillometric methods of analysis.

Indicator accumulation volume Accumulation - VA)

VA = {[ (C - L) - (H - C) ] / (H - L) } x V+VA -1 , where
C - closing price,
L and H - min and max price,
V is the volume.

the Total daily volume takes a positive value only in case, when the closing price is equal to the maximum price of the day, and, Vice versa, when the closing price coincides with the minimum, the entire daily volume gets the minus sign.


Х linearity of the dynamics of the indicator and prices bull market and discrepancy on the bearish trend - a trend confirmation
Х bull divergence and the bearish convergence refutation trend

the Index of the VA

IVA = (VA 0 +VA -1 +...+VA-n+1 / (0 V +V-n+1 )is equal to the sum of the values of the indicator VA n days, divided by the sum of the amounts of n days.


Х the index is greater than zero and growing - bull market (purchase)
Х the index is less than zero, and reduced - bear market (sale)

Chaikin Oscillator.

SNO=MA(VA,m)-MA(VA,n), where
m - larger order of the average;
n - lower average order.
Analysis is similar to the analysis of the MACD.

the accumulation/distribution Indicator (Accumulation/Distribution - A/D)

A/D = [ (C - O) / (H - L) ] x V+A/D -1 , where
C and O - price closing and opening,
L and H - min and max price,
V is the volume.

the Meaning and analysis of the indicator is similar to previous.

Trend rates-volume Price Trend - VPT)

VPT = VPT -1 + Volume x (P - P -1 ) / P -1 , where
VPT -1 - the previous value of the indicator,
volume - volume, number of changes,
P - current price,
P -1 - the previous value rates.
Indicator should take into account not only the direction of the price change, but the magnitude of the changes.


Х a large positive value overbought market
Х large negative value - перепроданнность market

the Border overbought/oversold selected analyst yourself.

Technical analysis: | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |

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